Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -50000 CHSO +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -26.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -25.6 (-16.6) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -26.5 (-17.5) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -19.9 (-10.9) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -22.1 (-13.1) | 149.7 (-4.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#44) | -9.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#12) | -2.26 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#12) | -3.23 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#89) | 0.338 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.1% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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