Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -39.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -31.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -26.4 (-8.4) | 132.7 (-2.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -22.0 (-4.0) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -26.6 (-8.6) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -28.0 (-10.0) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2025 | KSU 108 – 49 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-5 | 2-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#200) | -26.1 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#187) | -1.20 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#182) | -1.83 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#145) | 0.441 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 9.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 25.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 33.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 29.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 63.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 58.7% | 60.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 41.4% |
Game Analysis
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