Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -450 UCR +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +42 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -3.8 (+45.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -1.8 (+43.8) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.0 (+39.0) | 150.6 (-0.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -0.6 (+41.4) | 149.1 (+0.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -1.0 (+43.0) | 150.3 (-0.3) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2025 | SCU 101 – 62 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#271) | 5.4 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#328) | 1.80 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#342) | 2.30 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#180) | 0.739 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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