Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -650 UCR +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +39 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -13.9 (+25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -14.0 (+25.0) | 158.3 (+4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -15.1 (+23.9) | 160.3 (+2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -13.1 (+25.9) | 159.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -14.0 (+25.0) | 156.9 (+6.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | SCU 96 – 54 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#53) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#79) | 1.00 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#71) | 0.77 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#81) | 0.561 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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