Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–11 on winners spread MAE 8.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Texas +10.1 113.4 82% 59–74 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State +2.5 142.4 59% 82–64 ✗
Creighton @ Marquette +2.2 146.2 58% 75–69 ✗
Bucknell @ Boston University +16.0 145.8 93% 61–63 ✓
Furman @ VMI +0.3 157.3 51% 67–76 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State -4.3 128.7 35% 77–72 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall +0.9 135.0 53% 73–67 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Army +1.4 139.2 55% 74–77 ✓
Navy @ Holy Cross -15.3 126.4 8% 70–56 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +9.2 149.4 80% 73–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +8.1 132.5 77% 61–55 ✗
Green Bay @ Wright State +8.5 141.9 78% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Coastal Carolina +5.8 138.2 70% 65–64 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +0.5 142.5 52% 76–88 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State -4.3 137.9 35% 63–66 ✗
Providence @ DePaul +2.5 142.0 59% 70–53 ✗
UTSA @ UAB +26.6 142.1 99% 59–87 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +20.2 128.5 97% 40–60 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland +11.3 139.1 85% 72–87 ✓
Troy @ UT Arlington +0.9 135.6 53% 57–62 ✓
Western Illinois @ St. Thomas +1.2 159.3 54% 66–89 ✓
Ohio @ Western Michigan -13.7 141.5 11% 59–47 ✓
Lehigh @ American University +3.9 141.4 64% 63–61 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -3.2 146.3 38% 78–65 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +7.3 119.5 75% 55–77 ✓
Florida State @ NC State -4.0 146.7 36% 83–81 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +5.5 139.4 69% 69–77 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -2.8 125.5 40% 62–55 ✓
George Mason @ Kansas +18.5 150.3 95% 67–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +15.4 131.8 92% 48–79 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +1.8 134.0 57% 56–74 ✓
Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State +1.0 154.9 54% 79–98 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +11.2 132.3 84% 43–75 ✓
Chicago State @ New Mexico State +22.3 137.1 98% 61–78 ✓
Wake Forest @ Miami -1.7 155.1 44% 84–92 ✗
Virginia @ Syracuse +4.3 133.0 65% 74–69 ✗
Bowling Green @ Ball State -0.2 160.1 49% 80–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.