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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–8 on winners spread MAE 6.8 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +1.3 149.9 49% 79–77 ✗
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.0 132.9 54% 60–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -0.2 127.7 43% 62–58 ✓
USC @ Purdue +9.2 145.8 82% 71–76 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +0.1 138.3 55% 75–77 ✓
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -4.4 129.5 30% 69–63 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +4.8 132.9 71% 59–67 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +3.2 144.1 62% 78–72 ✗
SMU @ Clemson +5.7 138.9 71% 54–57 ✓
Kansas @ Arizona +3.7 150.4 74% 77–88 ✓
UTSA @ East Carolina +1.5 147.7 63% 65–70 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +6.0 135.3 73% 56–73 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kentucky +6.8 161.3 76% 84–85 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +7.2 128.2 78% 51–55 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +7.7 138.4 77% 58–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +4.4 165.9 67% 96–83 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +9.9 130.0 83% 59–76 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan State +4.8 140.6 71% 64–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +7.6 142.8 79% 79–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +11.5 152.7 85% 57–62 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +9.9 147.8 83% 80–83 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +4.0 130.0 67% 62–64 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago +0.9 143.7 60% 64–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ UCLA -0.2 136.3 54% 86–70 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State -0.0 137.4 49% 68–70 ✗
Texas @ Tennessee +10.2 139.1 83% 72–83 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Tulane -2.4 144.8 39% 76–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +9.7 164.9 84% 90–100 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +5.1 132.9 71% 65–80 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +10.3 152.3 84% 55–58 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +2.3 142.9 57% 81–73 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +3.9 143.6 73% 63–79 ✓
Illinois @ Maryland +1.6 153.8 68% 65–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +12.3 152.5 86% 71–74 ✓
BYU @ Houston +9.6 133.0 79% 54–74 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +9.2 162.3 82% 81–95 ✓
Tulsa @ North Texas +12.8 124.8 86% 59–77 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +3.0 144.4 62% 73–68 ✗
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -1.6 142.1 40% 64–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.