Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -140 MTSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -1.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -0.0 (+2.0) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -0.8 (+2.8) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -1.0 (+3.0) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -0.9 (+2.9) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | JXST 75 – 58 MTSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | JXST 77 – 63 MTSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MTSU 81 – 64 JXST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | JXST 76 – 68 MTSU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MTSU 75 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#129) | 3.2 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#102) | 1.14 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | 1.00 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#78) | 0.570 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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