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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–11 on winners spread MAE 9.2 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +7.5 145.8 79% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +1.7 139.9 62% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +3.5 130.4 57% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -1.6 144.6 47% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +4.2 152.9 64% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +2.3 133.8 62% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +11.9 137.7 87% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +2.6 153.4 61% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville -1.0 136.5 54% 73–76 ✗
UConn @ Creighton -0.2 144.7 50% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +1.5 138.5 64% 72–69 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +6.9 176.3 72% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +8.0 143.9 80% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +14.4 162.7 86% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +0.5 139.3 57% 72–83 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +6.9 145.7 77% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +8.9 141.5 84% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +4.6 141.6 63% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +3.1 141.9 65% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +1.5 141.7 58% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +10.6 135.6 84% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +7.3 158.1 81% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +9.9 148.6 84% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +1.1 136.0 60% 64–74 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +5.4 143.2 76% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +4.9 179.2 65% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +4.4 127.7 64% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State +0.2 133.8 53% 56–69 ✓
Arizona @ Houston +7.1 133.4 78% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.4 145.7 82% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.8 137.1 55% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +6.3 158.2 72% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.