Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -550 LUC +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +7 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -11.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -8.4 (-1.4) | 137.0 (-20.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -8.4 (-1.4) | 135.7 (-18.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -8.3 (-1.3) | 137.7 (-20.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -8.2 (-1.2) | 138.2 (-21.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | VCU 89 – 75 LUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VCU 84 – 65 LUC |
| Jan 24, 2024 | VCU 74 – 67 LUC |
| Jan 11, 2023 | VCU 78 – 64 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 17-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#36) | 2.9 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#52) | 0.98 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#46) | 1.20 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#43) | 0.542 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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