Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +14 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -3.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.7 (-10.3) | 138.4 (+3.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.3 (-9.7) | 141.5 (+0.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.1 (-8.9) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.5 (-8.5) | 141.4 (+0.6) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | VCU 89 – 75 LUC |
| Mar 15, 2025 | VCU 62 – 55 LUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VCU 84 – 65 LUC |
| Jan 24, 2024 | VCU 74 – 67 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#251) | 2.9 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#262) | 0.84 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#257) | 0.78 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#276) | 0.547 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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