Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -145 KU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -1.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -1.8 (+9.2) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -2.4 (+8.6) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.8 (+9.2) | 151.6 (+13.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.2 (+8.8) | 151.5 (+13.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARIZ 84 – 61 KU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | KU 82 – 78 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2025 | KU 83 – 76 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#11) | 17.6 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#36) | 2.57 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#28) | 3.21 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#44) | 0.609 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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