Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | KU +185 ARIZ -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -3.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.5 (+6.5) | 149.6 (+10.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ARIZ -0.7 (+4.7) | 150.3 (+9.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -2.1 (+6.1) | 143.6 (+16.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -1.2 (+5.2) | 143.3 (+16.7) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARIZ 84 – 61 KU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | ARIZ 88 – 77 KU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | KU 83 – 76 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 36-3 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 11-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#14) | 26.7 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#12) | 6.24 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#15) | 8.12 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#5) | 0.682 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 43.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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