You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–14 on winners spread MAE 9.9 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +12.6 166.1 85% 87–103 ✓
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +7.8 135.9 77% 56–68 ✓
Butler @ UConn +12.0 140.7 87% 78–80 ✓
Texas Tech @ Cincinnati -1.3 132.9 40% 81–71 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia +7.7 125.5 76% 56–74 ✓
VCU @ Rhode Island -3.7 146.4 36% 81–57 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +1.8 129.8 57% 75–62 ✗
Dayton @ Duquesne -0.4 137.1 50% 82–62 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Davidson +0.6 145.7 58% 78–61 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +9.7 147.1 85% 70–72 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +0.3 139.3 49% 83–64 ✗
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +9.2 150.7 84% 76–84 ✓
Ball State @ Central Michigan +4.4 140.8 69% 82–80 ✗
Akron @ Buffalo -11.9 159.0 16% 90–58 ✓
Ohio State @ Purdue +8.3 138.7 77% 73–70 ✗
UTSA @ UAB +11.6 156.7 85% 78–81 ✓
Bradley @ Belmont -3.3 151.7 33% 89–77 ✓
UCF @ Iowa State +15.0 158.5 88% 83–108 ✓
Marquette @ Seton Hall -10.8 138.5 17% 76–59 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulsa -2.8 142.3 38% 85–76 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa +9.3 137.5 85% 68–79 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +7.4 153.5 80% 81–85 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State -0.6 150.4 46% 80–81 ✗
Missouri @ Texas +3.1 147.2 66% 53–61 ✓
Arizona State @ West Virginia +6.5 135.2 74% 65–57 ✗
Louisville @ SMU +2.4 152.5 60% 98–73 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma State -11.4 150.7 17% 92–78 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest -1.5 143.7 47% 66–67 ✗
Minnesota @ Iowa +10.6 151.6 79% 72–67 ✗
Creighton @ DePaul -6.5 148.2 27% 73–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ UCLA +1.6 141.4 61% 83–85 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +11.3 147.3 85% 71–82 ✓
Wyoming @ UNLV +8.2 132.2 78% 63–61 ✗
BYU @ Colorado -3.7 146.0 36% 83–67 ✓
Utah @ Houston +15.4 130.3 87% 36–70 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross +2.6 142.1 60% 76–71 ✗
Furman @ VMI -7.2 145.8 27% 82–91 ✗
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +2.3 148.1 67% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.