You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–7 on winners spread MAE 8.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi State @ Auburn +11.0 149.9 84% 66–88 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +9.1 158.3 73% 74–64 ✗
Marquette @ DePaul -11.9 146.4 14% 85–83 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +4.9 154.8 68% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -6.5 157.3 27% 94–69 ✓
North Texas @ East Carolina -5.8 129.8 26% 69–60 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse -7.0 149.5 24% 85–61 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +12.1 143.7 85% 62–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +10.2 135.9 72% 94–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +8.1 157.1 80% 78–85 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -12.4 149.0 14% 84–69 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +6.2 141.9 78% 63–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +6.2 152.8 81% 61–79 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +7.5 150.7 78% 71–86 ✓
Charlotte @ Wichita State +7.0 147.6 78% 59–68 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +7.8 156.1 80% 64–71 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +12.4 139.8 87% 58–63 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +5.6 145.3 71% 90–84 ✗
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +12.8 132.3 87% 56–73 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +7.7 144.2 82% 64–84 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +1.0 134.0 53% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +5.8 152.8 76% 68–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -10.0 144.5 19% 61–57 ✓
Oklahoma State @ BYU +14.5 144.4 87% 69–85 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -6.0 139.4 27% 70–59 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +12.4 132.8 86% 55–96 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +12.7 152.8 83% 83–82 ✗
Arkansas @ LSU +1.9 147.9 65% 74–78 ✓
Miami @ Duke +20.6 147.0 90% 54–89 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -7.7 151.3 20% 70–71 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +18.6 126.7 90% 62–68 ✓
Iowa @ USC +1.2 157.6 60% 89–99 ✓
Baylor @ Arizona +5.1 148.3 72% 70–81 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +8.5 132.0 76% 60–75 ✓
UCF @ Arizona State +5.1 152.4 71% 95–89 ✗
Lafayette @ Army +1.3 142.9 53% 68–70 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +2.1 129.0 63% 58–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt +7.9 142.6 82% 63–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI +3.1 144.6 67% 50–66 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +11.1 157.8 87% 92–93 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +8.1 155.5 83% 97–102 ✓
Stanford @ Wake Forest +3.4 139.2 71% 67–80 ✓
Davidson @ La Salle +0.1 146.1 54% 76–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.