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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–7 on winners spread MAE 8.1 20 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Boston College @ Notre Dame	+9.4	143.0	82%	60–78	✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State	-13.2	136.6	12%	82–53	✓
American University @ Loyola Maryland	+2.1	139.2	57%	73–54	✗
Alabama State @ Alcorn State	-2.4	143.6	37%	65–67	✗
Wofford @ Furman	+5.8	139.9	68%	81–62	✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern	+3.2	134.6	69%	53–69	✓
East Texas A&M @ UT Rio Grande Valley	+10.8	143.7	86%	55–57	✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word	+0.4	143.7	46%	88–82	✗
SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin	+2.1	128.5	50%	66–59	✗
Norfolk State @ Morgan State	-9.7	151.4	24%	74–78	✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ South Carolina State	+13.6	142.4	88%	64–78	✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central	+2.6	146.5	62%	72–75	✓
Coppin State @ Howard	+10.2	144.0	87%	75–90	✓
Alabama A&M @ Jackson State	+10.3	143.3	84%	93–103	✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	+9.2	141.2	82%	64–73	✓
New Orleans @ Lamar	+12.0	140.9	84%	68–62	✗
McNeese @ Houston Christian	-14.4	134.8	12%	75–59	✓
Campbell @ Elon	+7.9	136.6	79%	68–81	✓
Florida A&M @ Grambling	+5.7	136.5	77%	72–79	✓
Villanova @ Xavier	+2.0	145.9	63%	63–69	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.