But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–10 on winners spread MAE 6.7 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +0.7 151.6 51% 79–77 ✗
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.8 132.7 65% 60–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -0.6 128.1 49% 62–58 ✓
USC @ Purdue +9.9 148.9 82% 71–76 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +0.5 139.4 57% 75–77 ✓
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -4.3 129.6 36% 69–63 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +5.6 136.8 73% 59–67 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +3.8 148.3 66% 78–72 ✗
SMU @ Clemson +5.6 141.4 73% 54–57 ✓
Kansas @ Arizona +3.7 152.9 60% 77–88 ✓
UTSA @ East Carolina +1.4 147.7 57% 65–70 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +5.3 138.9 72% 56–73 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kentucky +7.5 162.5 77% 84–85 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +7.1 125.9 80% 51–55 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +9.1 141.8 81% 58–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +2.8 168.3 64% 96–83 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +9.8 130.8 84% 59–76 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan State +5.4 139.2 68% 64–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +8.6 141.1 81% 79–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +12.4 157.2 85% 57–62 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +11.4 146.6 86% 80–83 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +4.5 128.3 71% 62–64 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago -0.1 142.7 54% 64–72 ✗
Wisconsin @ UCLA +0.3 137.6 55% 86–70 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State -0.8 139.1 49% 68–70 ✗
Texas @ Tennessee +10.6 136.5 83% 72–83 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Tulane -1.4 145.6 43% 76–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +11.0 164.2 85% 90–100 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +4.5 130.4 66% 65–80 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +10.0 150.9 85% 55–58 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +2.3 141.7 61% 81–73 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +4.9 144.1 72% 63–79 ✓
Illinois @ Maryland +4.7 151.8 61% 65–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +11.4 150.9 85% 71–74 ✓
BYU @ Houston +9.4 132.3 80% 54–74 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +10.6 166.2 80% 81–95 ✓
Tulsa @ North Texas +11.1 127.7 85% 59–77 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +2.0 144.8 60% 73–68 ✗
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -0.5 143.8 49% 64–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.