Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–8 on winners spread MAE 8.5 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ James Madison +23.8 144.7 91% 48–87 ✓
Virginia @ Memphis +5.0 132.6 67% 54–77 ✓
Troy @ Ole Miss +10.7 147.0 83% 53–74 ✓
Stetson @ Florida International +3.0 143.9 60% 80–68 ✗
USC @ Alabama State -4.5 147.8 34% 79–59 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ High Point +5.7 148.1 72% 63–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Chattanooga +6.5 143.6 74% 66–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ Indiana State +19.1 152.9 90% 69–90 ✓
Cornell @ Siena -11.3 144.3 16% 95–74 ✓
Presbyterian @ Furman +8.8 154.0 80% 61–76 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina +10.2 143.0 83% 62–72 ✓
Northeastern @ Central Connecticut +2.8 137.2 58% 79–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Wright State +8.5 154.3 79% 82–92 ✓
Western Carolina @ Vanderbilt -4.5 141.1 31% 63–62 ✓
Merrimack @ Cincinnati +17.3 142.4 88% 49–65 ✓
Queens University @ Mercer +2.8 146.6 63% 65–84 ✓
Sacred Heart @ UAlbany +9.6 145.1 81% 79–93 ✓
Florida @ Michigan -1.8 155.8 43% 106–101 ✓
New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin +12.2 145.5 87% 72–75 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulsa +21.5 133.9 90% 50–79 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Loyola Chicago +12.7 137.2 88% 59–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois +11.9 142.2 85% 63–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Drake +19.6 151.7 91% 55–92 ✓
Houston Christian @ SMU +24.9 141.6 91% 53–89 ✓
North Florida @ Florida State +13.4 146.5 86% 75–91 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri State +12.5 139.4 87% 57–79 ✓
Marquette @ Providence -0.7 139.9 44% 57–72 ✗
Nicholls @ Maryland +13.1 141.8 84% 67–73 ✓
Montana @ UC Davis +1.5 140.4 52% 73–61 ✗
Southern Utah @ Montana State +2.0 137.1 61% 88–89 ✓
South Dakota @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.3 142.2 59% 76–96 ✓
Western Kentucky @ California Baptist +3.6 142.3 66% 73–70 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Saint Mary's +12.9 128.2 86% 34–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UCLA +7.8 135.5 77% 76–72 ✗
Western Illinois @ Central Arkansas +0.1 138.8 48% 65–54 ✗
Wofford @ Oklahoma State +9.0 149.0 79% 70–76 ✓
Longwood @ North Carolina Central -4.6 137.2 28% 70–79 ✗
UC San Diego @ California +1.8 143.0 57% 67–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.