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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–10 on winners spread MAE 12.0 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northern Illinois @ Pittsburgh +11.3 141.7 84% 59–89 ✓
Rider @ Syracuse — — — 52–87 —
Oakland @ Oklahoma State +23.9 145.5 91% 71–84 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Saint Louis +25.8 148.5 91% 54–107 ✓
Rice @ Houston Christian -6.2 138.2 27% 86–64 ✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +14.6 139.1 87% 48–69 ✓
UNLV @ Kansas State +5.9 140.9 69% 68–58 ✗
BYU @ Utah State +1.4 143.5 56% 67–64 ✗
Portland State @ Portland — — — 73–86 —
Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina +17.1 146.5 89% 75–76 ✓
Villanova @ Texas +8.7 143.8 79% 68–64 ✗
Grambling @ Texas Tech +21.6 135.1 91% 40–81 ✓
Stanford @ North Carolina A&T -0.2 144.6 46% 78–46 ✓
New Hampshire @ Quinnipiac +3.0 142.6 61% 58–64 ✓
Cleveland State @ Ohio +13.4 141.6 86% 46–101 ✓
Coppin State @ Drexel +11.3 142.0 84% 54–69 ✓
Stetson @ Florida +18.6 147.2 90% 40–86 ✓
Missouri @ Wichita State -1.8 149.9 40% 72–62 ✓
Stony Brook @ St. John's +10.3 152.7 83% 66–89 ✓
UL Monroe @ Northwestern State +1.5 145.7 57% 92–83 ✗
UC Riverside @ Denver — — — 83–63 —
Central Arkansas @ Little Rock +7.3 145.0 78% 83–86 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Western Kentucky +21.9 163.2 90% 69–96 ✓
Xavier @ Cincinnati +2.1 136.9 53% 77–69 ✗
Troy @ UAB +19.4 135.9 91% 55–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Illinois -0.1 148.7 49% 79–73 ✓
La Salle @ Army +13.5 135.3 87% 59–63 ✓
Binghamton @ Marist +10.7 138.6 82% 60–64 ✓
UCF @ Michigan +9.6 138.0 80% 58–80 ✓
Wyoming @ Oregon State +6.4 144.2 75% 76–73 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M +14.9 138.2 87% 68–81 ✓
Oklahoma @ TCU +2.8 137.3 63% 82–78 ✗
West Virginia @ Georgetown -2.0 143.3 39% 80–71 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego State +10.9 152.5 82% 60–65 ✓
Kentucky @ Georgia Tech -1.2 149.6 44% 62–79 ✗
Seattle U @ Long Beach State -1.1 138.4 42% 75–80 ✗
Western Michigan @ Michigan State +9.0 141.1 80% 61–79 ✓
Bellarmine @ Howard +1.6 142.6 54% 84–63 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ LSU +18.7 156.0 88% 55–86 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +4.4 155.0 75% 78–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.