Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | LBSU -150 SEA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -0.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.1 (+6.1) | 138.4 (+16.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.9 (+7.9) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.0 (+7.0) | 138.0 (+17.0) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 4-8 | 4-5 |
| Home | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-8 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#245) | 1.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#192) | 0.60 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#203) | 0.77 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#198) | 0.541 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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