Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -2800 STBK +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +23 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -14.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -9.7 (+13.3) | 151.7 (+3.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -10.3 (+12.7) | 152.7 (+2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -11.0 (+12.0) | 153.6 (+1.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -11.9 (+11.1) | 152.7 (+2.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2023 | SJU 90 – 74 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#172) | -8.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#81) | -0.45 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#77) | -0.62 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#109) | 0.326 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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