Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +220 CMU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -0.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -0.1 (-5.9) | 148.7 (+3.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -0.1 (-5.9) | 150.2 (+1.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.0 (-7.0) | 155.5 (-3.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | WIU 97 – 70 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 7-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 2-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#259) | -0.8 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#167) | -0.88 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#162) | -1.09 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#48) | 0.458 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.0% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 19.4% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 33.8% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 5.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 59.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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