Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CMU +205 WIU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +27 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -13.1 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -11.4 (-15.6) | 148.5 (+18.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -8.7 (-18.3) | 146.9 (+20.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -8.8 (-18.2) | 147.9 (+19.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -10.3 (-16.7) | 151.8 (+15.2) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | CMU 79 – 73 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 2-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#348) | 4.3 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#308) | 0.85 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#317) | 1.04 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#264) | 0.550 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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