Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TCU +165 OU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -2.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -2.8 (-6.8) | 137.3 (+22.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -2.7 (-6.7) | 139.7 (+20.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -2.8 (-6.8) | 136.0 (+24.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | TCU 77 – 70 OU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | TCU 80 – 71 OU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OU 74 – 60 TCU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TCU 79 – 52 OU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#100) | 8.8 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#18) | 0.47 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#19) | 0.75 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#82) | 0.375 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 62.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 40.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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