Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | ORST -450 WYO +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -11.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -6.4 (-9.4) | 144.2 (+4.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -6.2 (-9.2) | 143.4 (+5.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -8.6 (-11.6) | 145.9 (+3.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -7.2 (-10.2) | 145.2 (+3.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#142) | -3.4 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#140) | -1.41 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#121) | -1.84 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#53) | 0.287 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
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