Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ACU -2000 TAR +1040 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +21 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -16.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -14.6 (+6.4) | 139.1 (-22.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -18.5 (+2.5) | 139.0 (-22.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -16.3 (+4.7) | 137.4 (-20.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ACU 84 – 78 TAR |
| Feb 17, 2026 | TAR 65 – 62 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ACU 73 – 59 TAR |
| Jan 9, 2026 | ACU 84 – 80 TAR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TAR 67 – 52 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 5-7 |
| Home | 13-0 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#20) | 2.1 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#5) | -0.56 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.01 (#6) | -0.77 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.735 (#14) | 0.500 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 54.5% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 3.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 29.2% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 10.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 36.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.6% | 27.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 64.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.