Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -1650 RGV +975 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -20.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -14.9 (-1.9) | 138.2 (+10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -16.0 (-3.0) | 141.1 (+7.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -15.9 (-2.9) | 137.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-4 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#91) | -9.0 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#93) | 0.46 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#100) | 0.64 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#179) | 0.507 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 36.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 26.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 43.7% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 33.3% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.