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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Mercy
@
Notre Dame
|
+4.1 | 146.7 | 66% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Penn State
|
+9.4 | 144.4 | 80% | 98–92 | ✗ |
California
@
UCLA
|
+10.5 | 138.5 | 86% | 56–76 | ✓ |
Wofford
@
Richmond
|
— | — | — | 72–77 | — |
George Washington
@
UMBC
|
+9.6 | 146.2 | 80% | 81–92 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Hartford
|
+10.4 | 136.7 | 85% | 54–67 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
East Carolina
|
+7.5 | 138.6 | 79% | 78–88 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Coastal Carolina
|
— | — | — | 71–78 | — |
South Carolina State
@
Charlotte
|
+9.3 | 130.0 | 80% | 40–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.