Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -4500 SCST +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +38 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -14.2 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -9.3 (+28.7) | 130.0 (-12.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -8.9 (+29.1) | 129.0 (-11.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -12.1 (+25.9) | 129.1 (-11.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -10.6 (+27.4) | 130.7 (-12.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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