Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | HART -16.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -10.4 (+2.6) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -10.6 (+2.4) | 136.4 (-15.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -12.5 (+0.5) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -11.9 (+1.1) | 134.7 (-13.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | HART 66 – 61 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 10-17 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#225) | -14.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#82) | -2.25 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#81) | -3.05 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#137) | 0.239 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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