Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | GTWN +475 WVU -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -3.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.7 (-5.3) | 146.2 (+4.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.7 (-6.3) | 143.8 (+7.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.0 (-7.0) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -4.8 (-4.2) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | WVU 73 – 60 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#175) | 9.9 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#127) | 2.82 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#80) | 4.49 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#55) | 0.762 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 16.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 41.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.6% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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