They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–8 on winners spread MAE 8.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi State @ Auburn +13.1 155.1 86% 66–88 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +8.0 156.3 69% 74–64 ✗
Marquette @ DePaul -10.5 149.6 18% 85–83 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +5.3 156.1 70% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -7.2 155.4 27% 94–69 ✓
North Texas @ East Carolina -4.8 134.2 25% 69–60 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse -7.4 149.4 23% 85–61 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +10.4 143.0 81% 62–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +12.3 133.0 81% 94–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +7.3 155.1 81% 78–85 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -13.2 150.5 14% 84–69 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +5.6 142.5 72% 63–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +5.2 151.5 73% 61–79 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +6.6 149.6 76% 71–86 ✓
Charlotte @ Wichita State +7.7 149.3 79% 59–68 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +5.1 157.4 65% 64–71 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +9.2 138.0 83% 58–63 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +5.7 143.9 74% 90–84 ✗
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +11.7 133.1 85% 56–73 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +6.3 142.7 76% 64–84 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +1.9 132.6 58% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +5.1 151.1 74% 68–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -11.0 149.3 19% 61–57 ✓
Oklahoma State @ BYU +12.6 143.7 86% 69–85 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -5.2 142.0 33% 70–59 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +11.8 136.5 86% 55–96 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +10.6 151.1 82% 83–82 ✗
Arkansas @ LSU +1.5 146.0 66% 74–78 ✓
Miami @ Duke +23.3 149.9 91% 54–89 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -7.6 149.9 26% 70–71 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +16.2 132.4 88% 62–68 ✓
Iowa @ USC +0.9 158.9 60% 89–99 ✓
Baylor @ Arizona +5.8 152.4 72% 70–81 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +8.2 130.8 74% 60–75 ✓
UCF @ Arizona State +7.1 145.5 76% 95–89 ✗
Lafayette @ Army +0.6 139.8 51% 68–70 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +2.0 132.2 54% 58–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt +10.0 142.3 82% 63–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI +4.1 141.4 67% 50–66 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +11.0 160.4 88% 92–93 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +8.0 156.5 81% 97–102 ✓
Stanford @ Wake Forest +4.2 139.7 68% 67–80 ✓
Davidson @ La Salle -0.2 148.7 46% 76–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.