All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–7 on winners spread MAE 8.4 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston College @ Notre Dame +11.9 145.3 86% 60–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -12.4 133.5 12% 82–53 ✓
American University @ Loyola Maryland +2.2 141.6 58% 73–54 ✗
Alabama State @ Alcorn State -4.0 149.4 36% 65–67 ✗
Wofford @ Furman +6.8 141.5 77% 81–62 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +2.6 135.5 65% 53–69 ✓
East Texas A&M @ UT Rio Grande Valley +11.2 144.9 86% 55–57 ✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word +0.9 141.8 57% 88–82 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin +0.3 128.7 50% 66–59 ✗
Norfolk State @ Morgan State -13.0 152.9 19% 74–78 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ South Carolina State +13.1 143.7 87% 64–78 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +1.8 150.2 64% 72–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Howard +10.8 149.4 87% 75–90 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Jackson State +10.0 143.0 85% 93–103 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.3 145.7 78% 64–73 ✓
New Orleans @ Lamar +12.5 141.6 85% 68–62 ✗
McNeese @ Houston Christian -12.1 135.7 14% 75–59 ✓
Campbell @ Elon +8.9 134.7 80% 68–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Grambling +5.6 134.5 70% 72–79 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier +3.9 148.8 71% 63–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.