That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
25–11 on winners spread MAE 8.4 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ Houston +18.0 134.0 89% 52–77 ✓
Montana State @ Southern Utah +5.5 148.9 72% 80–77 ✗
Akron @ Buffalo +3.9 151.6 70% 74–81 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +5.9 133.8 71% 47–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +4.3 125.8 63% 52–47 ✗
North Carolina @ Florida State +0.3 142.4 47% 66–69 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +5.8 138.2 69% 75–64 ✗
Wisconsin @ Iowa +5.5 145.7 71% 57–62 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +1.5 143.1 53% 56–59 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina A&T -7.4 135.4 20% 1–0 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU +1.7 141.6 59% 73–76 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +13.6 134.5 87% 71–93 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +9.0 135.8 80% 55–71 ✓
Texas @ Kansas +4.1 128.5 69% 1–0 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +7.3 137.5 77% 70–77 ✓
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M +5.3 132.2 72% 63–75 ✓
Missouri @ Arkansas +5.3 149.7 67% 64–70 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +4.7 134.1 67% 62–70 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington +4.9 142.4 70% 50–78 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Valley -2.5 134.4 37% 78–62 ✓
Colorado @ USC -0.5 131.1 45% 72–70 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine -1.0 128.5 47% 61–78 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +1.8 134.6 53% 50–62 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Hartford +4.4 137.5 69% 50–64 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +3.4 140.1 57% 68–67 ✗
Tennessee @ Alabama +3.1 134.4 64% 68–73 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +0.3 143.5 50% 63–71 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +3.5 142.9 65% 60–59 ✗
LSU @ Arkansas +3.2 160.6 65% 78–71 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois -0.3 152.7 56% 71–82 ✗
Iona @ Fairfield -7.8 132.1 23% 60–51 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +6.0 128.6 74% 74–76 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas +1.2 140.8 51% 86–91 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +1.6 123.8 53% 57–68 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M +0.2 142.4 51% 80–61 ✗
Georgetown @ Creighton +5.8 143.5 68% 73–48 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.