Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–10 on winners spread MAE 9.4 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lehigh @ Boston University +9.3 141.6 81% 58–69 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +4.6 134.1 65% 75–70 ✗
Florida A&M @ North Carolina Central +0.2 129.7 45% 65–58 ✗
Providence @ St. John's +2.8 154.6 65% 67–81 ✓
NC State @ Notre Dame +2.0 147.6 62% 80–69 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State +3.2 150.1 68% 65–84 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Sam Houston +15.7 144.7 89% 61–84 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +20.6 134.7 91% 73–87 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont +15.4 143.0 89% 61–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU New Orleans +4.6 156.7 72% 83–92 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian +1.5 143.4 58% 67–72 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Central Arkansas +1.4 150.8 61% 71–88 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +3.9 146.0 70% 60–72 ✓
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M -3.1 130.0 29% 63–57 ✓
Boston College @ Florida State +14.7 158.3 87% 64–93 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -10.2 132.2 17% 71–62 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon +3.6 137.4 68% 74–82 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern -0.9 134.2 51% 55–60 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin -1.9 148.2 39% 63–61 ✓
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +12.5 142.6 84% 68–63 ✗
Stanford @ USC +8.2 143.0 80% 42–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +7.3 136.9 76% 54–61 ✓
Duquesne @ Richmond +5.0 141.6 67% 67–62 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Massachusetts +4.3 152.6 67% 66–100 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +15.2 134.3 88% 59–69 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida +0.7 141.3 55% 68–60 ✗
Rhode Island @ Dayton +1.1 142.3 54% 72–84 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac -0.1 132.0 49% 60–65 ✗
Monmouth @ Rider -4.4 156.4 35% 77–74 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +7.4 140.1 78% 59–73 ✓
Campbell @ Radford +2.0 131.4 52% 78–60 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +9.7 142.1 81% 50–80 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +2.6 130.9 60% 73–63 ✗
Fairfield @ Manhattan +3.2 129.9 57% 59–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.