This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–8 on winners spread MAE 7.1 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Michigan +7.0 148.6 73% 76–53 ✗
Auburn @ Alabama +11.9 161.8 87% 58–70 ✓
Texas @ Iowa State -10.6 141.9 16% 81–67 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +11.3 136.1 86% 49–69 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner +4.7 132.0 70% 67–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Boise State +14.4 136.4 87% 67–64 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +8.3 146.4 80% 104–108 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +0.0 150.0 48% 69–70 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +15.5 156.7 88% 94–92 ✗
Tulsa @ UCF +3.1 131.2 65% 69–73 ✓
Xavier @ Georgetown -0.2 143.2 48% 66–72 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +10.2 150.4 85% 65–100 ✓
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois -3.1 133.2 32% 73–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green +5.6 146.9 75% 84–79 ✗
Youngstown State @ Oakland +1.8 156.3 62% 83–87 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan State +1.8 141.6 58% 58–64 ✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech +4.4 150.3 73% 77–81 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +11.5 158.1 85% 68–83 ✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue +4.0 132.1 75% 69–73 ✓
Marquette @ DePaul -2.5 135.2 37% 77–71 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -8.0 137.1 25% 73–52 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss +3.6 134.3 66% 62–70 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle +0.4 153.2 54% 72–66 ✗
Fordham @ George Washington +6.5 128.2 77% 49–53 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner +5.3 132.6 73% 59–64 ✓
Clemson @ Syracuse +1.9 134.9 60% 54–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulane -4.1 136.7 30% 78–70 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall +0.9 134.6 55% 69–58 ✗
Missouri @ Florida +5.6 142.9 69% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.