But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–4 on winners spread MAE 10.2 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +9.7 155.3 85% 71–87 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell +1.1 135.3 58% 57–63 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +2.4 140.0 60% 77–61 ✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska -4.9 138.1 32% 51–72 ✗
North Carolina @ Syracuse +0.7 148.2 54% 70–72 ✓
Sam Houston @ Houston Christian -9.2 153.6 17% 83–70 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +5.6 141.6 71% 47–66 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word -0.0 141.5 41% 88–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +11.5 132.2 87% 58–64 ✓
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State -16.8 131.2 15% 63–67 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alabama A&M -5.6 138.7 25% 68–58 ✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +2.8 148.7 69% 75–79 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon +3.7 139.9 72% 69–80 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State -10.5 134.5 15% 70–67 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +20.1 133.7 91% 44–74 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ New Mexico State +2.0 135.8 58% 51–69 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo +7.4 156.9 78% 78–80 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -2.1 153.2 44% 94–89 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -16.0 160.4 16% 79–81 ✗
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh +8.6 135.8 82% 57–70 ✓
Arkansas @ South Carolina -6.8 156.1 28% 101–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.