And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–12 on winners spread MAE 10.5 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Indiana +4.7 136.1 62% 81–69 ✗
Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's +5.6 134.0 69% 57–77 ✓
Bryant @ Saint Francis -7.4 156.4 25% 82–89 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart +3.3 153.2 64% 48–65 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner +0.3 137.0 48% 77–66 ✗
Belmont @ Tennessee Tech -11.1 147.8 15% 88–67 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop +12.9 149.9 85% 61–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ Campbell +6.4 140.9 71% 46–48 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford +2.4 143.6 58% 87–63 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Montana +10.1 131.8 79% 56–67 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International +8.7 146.2 77% 81–79 ✗
San Francisco @ Portland -12.6 148.1 15% 79–63 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +8.9 144.7 83% 64–71 ✓
Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State +9.9 133.1 84% 64–65 ✓
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +24.0 164.4 91% 70–95 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +3.2 128.4 68% 45–57 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois +3.3 134.3 63% 87–61 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -6.0 137.5 28% 74–54 ✓
Southern Utah @ Eastern Washington +3.5 148.1 67% 63–75 ✓
Washington @ USC +19.2 143.2 91% 68–95 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State -17.6 149.1 13% 90–57 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon State -10.8 147.1 19% 98–64 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +0.8 133.1 52% 62–52 ✗
Hofstra @ Delaware -3.5 135.7 39% 56–74 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Denver -12.8 153.7 13% 88–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +16.5 141.4 90% 75–83 ✓
Old Dominion @ Rice +3.2 144.6 62% 59–69 ✓
Bryant @ Saint Francis -7.4 156.4 24% 72–63 ✓
Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's +6.1 133.8 75% 52–63 ✓
Niagara @ Manhattan -5.7 132.5 30% 49–58 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Monmouth +11.1 143.5 85% 80–92 ✓
Fairfield @ Marist +8.1 131.8 71% 63–73 ✓
Marshall @ Western Kentucky +0.5 151.0 55% 73–81 ✓
UAB @ Charlotte -5.4 130.2 22% 61–37 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky +5.0 133.7 66% 74–69 ✗
Longwood @ Winthrop +13.0 149.7 84% 50–70 ✓
Hampton @ South Carolina Upstate +2.7 139.7 55% 84–74 ✗
North Alabama @ Kennesaw State +3.1 132.6 54% 66–43 ✗
Troy @ Georgia Southern +4.2 132.4 64% 64–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.