Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +300 UNCO -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +20 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -3.9 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.2 (-15.8) | 135.1 (-7.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.7 (-15.3) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.7 (-14.3) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -6.0 (-14.0) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-21 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 6-8 |
| Home | 1-9 | 6-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#332) | -6.4 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.50 (#344) | -1.54 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.65 (#345) | -2.39 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.320 (#342) | 0.389 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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