Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -138 UAB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +24 | 98 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -7.6 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -5.2 (-18.8) | 129.8 (-31.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -3.6 (-20.4) | 127.6 (-29.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -5.1 (-18.9) | 131.3 (-33.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.4 (-18.6) | 130.2 (-32.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLT 83 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UAB 96 – 78 CLT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CLT 76 – 70 UAB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UAB 93 – 91 CLT |
Game Analysis
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