Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Tudor Fieldhouse · January 15, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money RICE +150 / ODU -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual RICE +10 128 Won
Massey RICE -2.4 (+7.6) — —
Massey Totals — 145.8 (-17.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 33% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -2.8 (+7.2) 142.5 (-14.5) 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -2.4 (+7.6) 144.4 (-16.4) 62% ✓
Baseline ML RICE -3.2 (+6.8) 144.6 (-16.6) 62% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RICE -2.2 (+7.8) 144.4 (-16.4) 56% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2022 RICE 77 – 69 ODU
Jan 16, 2021 ODU 61 – 58 RICE

Game Analysis

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