Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | DEN +600 ORU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -16.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -13.6 (+9.6) | 150.7 (+21.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -12.9 (+8.9) | 156.9 (+15.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -14.1 (+10.1) | 153.9 (+18.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -12.8 (+8.8) | 153.7 (+18.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-19 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 10-5 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#339) | 2.4 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#342) | -0.62 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.16 (#341) | -0.12 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.295 (#345) | 0.525 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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