Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -333 IUIN +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -7.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -5.3 (-10.3) | 134.4 (+8.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -6.2 (-11.2) | 133.4 (+9.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -5.9 (-10.9) | 135.4 (+7.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -5.0 (-10.0) | 133.7 (+9.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | -8.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#196) | -1.50 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#218) | -2.11 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#185) | 0.397 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.