Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DEL +230 HOF -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -5.0 (+23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -3.8 (+21.8) | 134.8 (-4.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.5 (+21.5) | 134.2 (-4.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.9 (+20.9) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.5 (+21.5) | 135.7 (-5.7) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#282) | 0.6 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#275) | 0.61 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#287) | 0.74 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#308) | 0.552 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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