Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +350 ARIZ -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +34 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -11.1 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -9.9 (-24.1) | 145.5 (+16.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -9.2 (-24.8) | 145.0 (+17.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -10.7 (-23.3) | 147.5 (+14.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -10.8 (-23.2) | 147.1 (+14.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORST 83 – 80 ARIZ |
| Feb 5, 2023 | ARIZ 84 – 52 ORST |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ARIZ 86 – 74 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ARIZ 83 – 69 ORST |
| Dec 5, 2021 | ARIZ 90 – 65 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#212) | 11.4 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#213) | 1.86 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#188) | 2.86 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#255) | 0.566 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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