Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -175 FAU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -9.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -8.8 (-10.8) | 146.0 (+14.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -8.1 (-10.1) | 141.0 (+19.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -8.5 (-10.5) | 144.5 (+15.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -8.7 (-10.7) | 146.2 (+13.8) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAU 88 – 77 FIU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | FAU 94 – 60 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | FAU 79 – 53 FIU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 76 FIU |
Game Analysis
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