And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · January 15, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread EIU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money EIU -250 / MORE +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +26 148 Lost
Massey EIU -4.6 (-30.6) — —
Massey Totals — 133.3 (+14.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 40% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EIU -3.3 (-29.3) 134.5 (+13.5) 64% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EIU -2.9 (-28.9) 133.4 (+14.6) 59% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EIU -3.1 (-29.1) 136.6 (+11.4) 64% ✗
Baseline ML EIU -3.3 (-29.3) 134.3 (+13.7) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 73 – 70 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 73 – 66 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 69 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 9-18 23-8
Conference 6-14 17-3
Home 5-7 12-1
Away 4-11 8-5
Neutral 0-0 3-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 68.1
Avg Pts Against 74.9 64.7
Massey -4.1 (#232) -5.7 (#259)
Bradley-Terry -0.77 (#233) -0.07 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.94 (#226) 0.01 (#175)
RPI 0.442 (#248) 0.475 (#203)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 43.3% 41.7%
3PT% 35.3% 27.2%
REB / G 35.5 34.7
OREB / G 11.2 10.2
AST / TO 0.98 0.59
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 47.0%
TOV% 18.1% 26.7%
ORB% 29.6% 30.4%
FT Rate 19.3% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 18.1%
DRB% 73.2% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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