Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +600 SF -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -13.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -11.2 (-4.8) | 147.9 (-5.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -10.9 (-5.1) | 148.8 (-6.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -12.8 (-3.2) | 150.0 (-8.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -12.6 (-3.4) | 148.1 (-6.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SF 82 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SF 73 – 68 PORT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SF 81 – 72 PORT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF 72 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SF 76 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 0-11 | 4-9 |
| Home | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Away | 1-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#304) | 6.7 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#201) | 0.65 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#257) | 0.73 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#178) | 0.545 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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