Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UNCA -1000 CHSO +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -18.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -15.3 (-7.3) | 141.0 (+17.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -13.8 (-5.8) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -17.0 (-9.0) | 143.0 (+15.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -16.5 (-8.5) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-10 | 3-18 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 2-15 |
| Home | 6-4 | 1-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#186) | -16.9 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#261) | -4.59 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#251) | -6.34 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#249) | 0.376 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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