Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | SMC -130 BYU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +10 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -1.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -0.4 (-10.4) | 132.1 (-18.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -1.5 (-11.5) | 130.0 (-16.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -1.1 (-11.1) | 133.5 (-19.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -0.8 (-10.8) | 133.1 (-19.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2023 | SMC 76 – 69 BYU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SMC 71 – 65 BYU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | SMC 57 – 56 BYU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SMC 69 – 64 BYU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | BYU 52 – 43 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 4-6 | 10-3 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-3 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#83) | 10.6 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#77) | 2.64 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#84) | 3.61 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#78) | 0.613 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.