Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -138 CCSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +17 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -3.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-45.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.1 (+13.9) | 152.9 (-39.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.8 (+14.2) | 149.1 (-36.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.2 (+13.8) | 152.4 (-39.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.3 (+13.7) | 153.2 (-40.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#275) | -7.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#164) | -1.08 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#179) | -1.16 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#144) | 0.483 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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